CNC's response to Atlas Intel regarding survey accuracy
- CNC
- Mar 11
- 1 min read
The Centro Nacional de Consultoría (CNC) presents its response to Atlas Intel.
No polling firm, including Atlas Intel, reports its results based on the total eligible voting population, regardless of the length of the explanation or the sources cited.
The figures published on the cover of SEMANA magazine do not appear anywhere in their self-assessment.
If you want to evaluate the accuracy of the candidates' predictions, you have to consider the estimated vote in the primary elections. For example, Atlas estimated 12% in the primary election and 44% for Paloma Valencia, meaning they estimated Paloma would receive 5% of the vote. The CNC estimated 28.8% in the primary election and 39.8% within the primary election, meaning Paloma would receive 11.1% of the vote.
In reality, Paloma received 3,236,286 votes out of 20,900,614, or 15% of the vote. Using this metric, the CNC's error is 4.1%, and Atlas Intel's is 10%. If the evaluation is done this way, which is how it should be, the true picture emerges.
That's the reality, don't overthink it.
Pablo Lemoine
President
Centro Nacional de Consultoría S.A.
I caught a similar look at how statistical framing can completely flip the "winner" of a data debate over at direwolfseo.co.uk recently—it’s a sharp reminder that in both SEO and polling, the metrics you choose to emphasize determine the reality you present to the public.
I appreciate the thoughtful clarification in CNC's response to Atlas Intel, especially the focus on methodology and transparency. Peer reviews help UK fits naturally into this conversation, highlighting how independent feedback strengthens trust. It would be great to see more comparative data shared to further build confidence for readers everywhere.
The Centro Nacional de Consultoría challenges Atlas Intel by arguing that its claims about survey accuracy are inconsistent with standard polling practices and lack transparent supporting data.
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Crucially, accuracy must be assessed against the actual vote tally rather than internal figures alone. By this standard, CNC’s error was just 4.1%, compared to 10% for Atlas Intel. Such transparency is truly welcome. On a lighter note, if you want to channel that same precision and clarity into something fun, check out these free top games that deliver honest, high-quality gameplay without any hidden surprises